3 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1742
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lushchyk
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1711
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H27-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.