3 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1505
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kovarik
JD
🇺🇦Josef Dolezal
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kovarik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)