4 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1355
FormLWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Fastov
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1496
FormWWWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)