4 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1647
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1645
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shcherbak🌟Rak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (29)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H36-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.