4 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1377
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lysyi
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Lysyi covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Lysyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.