4 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1371
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Priadko
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1309
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)