4 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1553
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volkov
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1535
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Volkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.