4 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1568
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1645
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 81% (36)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H27-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-22)