4 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1519
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Smyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.