4 Jul · 11:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Abraham
PA
🇺🇦Petr Abraham
ELO 1525
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Abraham
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)