4 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1377
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)