4 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1616
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Makara
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1616
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Makara
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.