4 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Klymenko
ELO 1273
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Aldayev
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1355
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Aldayev
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)