4 Jul · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jirousek
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1475
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.