4 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LB
🇺🇦Lukas Boura
ELO 1489
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tuma
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.