4 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1562
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1616
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)