4 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1209
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
28%
72%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~70 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+228
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)