4 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)