4 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mukhin
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1376
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.