4 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1677
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bindas
OB
🇺🇦Oleh Bindas
ELO 1761
FormLWLLW
41%
59%
🌟Pesternikov covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bindas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H92-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (92-52)