4 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1371
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priadko
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1355
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Priadko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H7-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.