4 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LB
🇺🇦Lukas Boura
ELO 1489
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Boura
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 100% (16)
Fair odds · Boura
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.