4 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1430
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurliuk
AL
🇺🇦Anatoliy Lysyi
ELO 1377
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)