4 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1507
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kotrbacek
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1483
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Plyska covers set handicap as underdog 100% (16)
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H11-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.