4 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1512
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lobanov
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1535
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Khairov stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Lobanov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.