4 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1428
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1573
FormLWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+145
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)