4 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1591
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1645
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)