4 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kotrbacek
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1507
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Tuma covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H9-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.