4 Jul · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mukhin
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1358
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)