4 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1371
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolos
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1387
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H17-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.