4 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇺🇦Anton Danylov
ELO 1209
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Novik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~71 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)