4 Jul · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1385
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stopin
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1473
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H25-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-2)