4 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1542
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.