4 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1428
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Khairov
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1512
FormWLWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Khairov
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)