4 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1562
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Makara
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1616
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Makara
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)