4 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1552
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1568
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.