4 Jul · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1616
FormLWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Heinzl
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1466
FormLLLWW
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+150
H2H17-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-11)