4 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1532
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H56-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.