4 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1567
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Emets
AL
🇺🇦Arsenii Lobanov
ELO 1535
FormLLLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.