4 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.