4 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1568
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Haiseniuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1591
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 81% (36)
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.