4 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Storozhenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1568
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Storozhenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.