4 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1473
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stopin
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.