4 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇺🇦Lukas Boura
ELO 1489
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kotrbacek
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1507
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.