4 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1430
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Matviichuk covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.