4 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Viktor Kucala
ELO 1390
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Snizek
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1459
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Kucala rarely covers set handicap as underdog 28% (18)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)