4 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1487
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Merkl
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1444
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kubos🌟Merkl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)