4 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1559
FormWWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Tuzhylin
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tuzhylin
ELO 1718
FormLWWWL
34%
66%
🌟Tuzhylin goes over total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Tuzhylin
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H83-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (83-57)