4 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tsys
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Bului rarely covers set handicap as underdog 19% (21)
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.