4 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1562
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Senk
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Senk
ELO 1584
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Senk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.